La Liga
Apr 12, 2026 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
  • Vedat Muriqi 36' goal
  • Vedat Muriqi 40' goal
  • Jan Virgili 62' yellowcard
  • Jan Virgili 65' goal
  • Marash Kumbulla 72' yellowcard
  • Takuma Asano 72' yellowcard
  • Antonio Sánchez 81' yellowcard
  • Abdón Prats 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 45'
  • yellowcard Óscar Valentín 46'
  • yellowcard Jorge de Frutos 46'
  • yellowcard Pathé Ciss 46'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarría 66'
  • yellowcard Pep Chavarría 67'
  • yellowcard Sergio Camello 77'
  • yellowcard Alexandre Zurawski 81'

Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.15pm
Mallorca 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Vedat Muriqi

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 8.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Elche
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Mallorca 37.81% (-0.04)
Draw 26.37%
Rayo Vallecano 35.89% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.04%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.66% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.34% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 51.44% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.56% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.24% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 70.76% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 16.02%
Under 4.5 83.98%

First Half Winner

Mallorca 27.82%
Draw 43.23%
Rayo Vallecano 28.95%

Team To Score First

Mallorca 43.97%
No Goal 6.69%
Rayo Vallecano 49.34%

Corners

Over 8 60.43% (-0.53)
Equal 8 11.29% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.28% (+0.52)
Over 9 48.67% (-0.49)
Equal 9 11.75% (-0.04)
Under 9 39.57% (+0.53)
Over 10.5 37.47% (-0.40)
Under 10.5 62.53% (+0.42)

Mallorca Goals

Over 1.5 38.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.37% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.62% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.38% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.13% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.87% (+0.02)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 70.56% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 29.44% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 37.1% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 62.9% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 14.45% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.55% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.62%
Under 3.5 95.38%

Score analysis

Mallorca 37.81%
Draw 26.38%
Rayo Vallecano 35.9%
Mallorca
1-0 @ 9.05% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.62%
Other @ 4.95% (-0.01)
Total : 37.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.86% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.38%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 8.69% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.46% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.48% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 35.9%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 11, 2026 1.00pm
1
0
LIVE Estadio de Vallecas
  • Jorge de Frutos 4' goal
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 24, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Unai Lopez 38' yellowcard
  • Pathe Ciss 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Omar Mascarell 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Samu 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 20, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Manu Morlanes 38' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 75' goal
  • yellowcard Abdul Mumin 37'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Matija Nastasic 1' yellowcard
  • Vedat Muriqi 39' yellowcard
  • Dani Rodriguez 41' yellowcard
  • Antonio Sanchez 48' goal
  • Vedat Muriqi 90'+1' goal
  • Abdon Prats 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Garcia 76'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Alvaro Garcia 4' goal
  • Unai Lopez 43' yellowcard
  • Raul de Tomas 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Radamel Falcao 90'+12' goal
  • goal Vedat Muriqi 44'
  • goal Antonio Sanchez 59'
  • yellowcard Sergi Darder 83'
  • yellowcard Jaume Costa 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Gonzalez 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Amath Ndiaye 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Omar Mascarell 90'+10'
La Liga Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
  • Vedat Muriqi 51' goal
  • Copete 71' goal
  • Angel Rodriguez 90'+3' goal