Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Ilias Akhomach 2' goal
  • Unai López 45'+2' goal
  • Pedro Díaz 55' yellowcard
  • Unai López 56' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Zurawski 56' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Espino 66' yellowcard
  • Isi Palazón 74' yellowcard
  • Sergio Camello 80' yellowcard
  • Óscar Valentín 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Răzvan Marin 46'
  • yellowcard Mijat Gacinovic 71'
  • yellowcard Zini 71'
  • yellowcard Dereck Kutesa 87'

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

AEK Athens

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (10.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 31.61% (-0.11)
Draw 28.94% (+0.05)
AEK Athens 39.42% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.28% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.6% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 35.4% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 39.07% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 60.9% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 19.42% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.58% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.1% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 89.9% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 27.07%
Draw 43.22%
AEK Athens 29.71%

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 44.91% (-0.04)
No Goal 11.64% (+0.06)
AEK Athens 43.45% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.85%
Equal 8 11.33%
Under 8 33.83%
Over 9 43.57%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 45.15%
Over 10.5 33.22%
Under 10.5 66.78%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 27.32% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 72.68% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 9.36% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 90.64% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.7%
Under 3.5 97.3%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 67.3% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.7% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.65% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.35% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.96% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 88.04% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.63% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.37% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 31.62%
Draw 28.94%
AEK Athens 39.43%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.74%
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.59% (-0.02)
Total : 31.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.64% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 28.94%
AEK Athens
0-1 @ 13.01% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 7.36% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.52% (+0.02)
Total : 39.43%