Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 5.45pm
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

AEK Athens

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AEK Athens win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 31.71% and a draw has a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 (10.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.6%).

Result

Rayo Vallecano 31.71% (+1.91)
Draw 28.9% (-0.21)
AEK Athens 39.36% (-1.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.35% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.66% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 35.34% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 39.14% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 60.83% (-0.49)
Over 3.5 19.46% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 80.54% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 10.11% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 89.89% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Rayo Vallecano 27.07% (+0.34)
Draw 43.22% (+0.30)
AEK Athens 29.71% (-0.65)

Team To Score First

Rayo Vallecano 44.94% (+1.18)
No Goal 11.59% (-0.39)
AEK Athens 43.47% (-0.81)

Corners

Over 8 54.85% (+0.99)
Equal 8 11.33% (-0.17)
Under 8 33.83% (-0.82)
Over 9 43.57% (+1.05)
Equal 9 11.28% (-0.09)
Under 9 45.15% (-0.97)
Over 10.5 33.22% (+1.04)
Under 10.5 66.78% (-1.04)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 1.5 27.41% (+1.77)
Under 1.5 72.59% (-1.76)
Over 2.5 9.4% (+0.97)
Under 2.5 90.6% (-0.97)
Over 3.5 2.7% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 97.3% (-0.40)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 67.28% (-0.88)
Under 0.5 32.72% (+0.87)
Over 1.5 32.61% (-1.28)
Under 1.5 67.39% (+1.27)
Over 2.5 11.94% (-0.88)
Under 2.5 88.06% (+0.88)
Over 3.5 3.61% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 96.39% (+0.55)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 31.71%
Draw 28.9%
AEK Athens 39.35%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.74% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 6.73% (+0.46)
2-0 @ 5.59% (+0.36)
3-1 @ 2.37% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 2.16% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 1.52% (+0.07)
Other @ 2.6% (+0.38)
Total : 31.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 11.59% (-0.39)
2-2 @ 3.96% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.02)
Total : 28.9%
AEK Athens
0-1 @ 12.97% (-0.36)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 7.33% (-0.39)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.17)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.51% (-0.55)
Total : 39.35%