Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 59.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.37% and a win for Atromitos had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%) , while for a Atromitos win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.