Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Celje had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-0 (8.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%).