Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Stadion Z'dežele
  • David Castro 46' yellowcard
  • Papa Daniel 46' yellowcard
  • Milot Avdyli 57' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kotnik 75' yellowcard
  • Ivica Vidovic 85' yellowcard
  • goal Barnabás Varga 3'
  • goal Aboubakary Koita 33'
  • goal Mijat Gacinovic 36'
  • goal Harold Moukoudi 49'
  • yellowcard Dereck Kutesa 73'
  • yellowcard Roberto Pereyra 74'
  • yellowcard Zini 78'
  • yellowcard Petros Mantalos 78'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kaloskamis 86'

Celje vs AEK Athens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions

AEK Athens

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Celje had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-0 (8.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Celje 36.15%
Draw 25.47%
AEK Athens 38.35% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.29% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.84% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.16% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.66% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 49.34% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 28.7%
Under 3.5 71.3%
Over 4.5 16.29%
Under 4.5 83.71%

First Half Winner

Celje 34.49%
Draw 39.44%
AEK Athens 26.07%

Team To Score First

Celje 51.79%
No Goal 7.04%
AEK Athens 41.17%

Corners

Over 8 51.3%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 37.29%
Over 9 40.24%
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 48.7%
Over 10.5 30.34%
Under 10.5 69.66%

Celje Goals

Over 1.5 36.35% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.65% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.86% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.14% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.21%
Under 3.5 94.79%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5 70.43% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 29.57% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 38.03% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.97% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 15.64% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.36% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.36%
Under 3.5 94.64%

Score analysis

Celje 36.17%
Draw 25.47%
AEK Athens 38.34%
Celje
1-0 @ 8.83%
2-1 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36%
Other @ 5.06%
Total : 36.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
AEK Athens
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.18% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 38.34%

Head to Head

Conference League
Oct 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT