Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Drita had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Drita win was 2-1 (5.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.