Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.75% and a win for Drita had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%) , while for a Drita win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.