Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 69.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.91% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 10.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.99%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%) , while for a AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.