Greek Superleague Gameweek 24
Mar 7, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT OPAP Arena
  • Harold Moukoudi 5' goal
  • Luka Jović 56' yellowcard
  • Petros Mantalos 67' yellowcard
  • Roberto Pereyra 67' yellowcard
  • Mijat Gacinovic 79' yellowcard
  • Zini 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Savvas Mourgos 57'
  • yellowcard Ángelo Sagal 57'
  • yellowcard Vasilios Sourlis 58'
  • yellowcard Zisis Chatzistravos 70'
  • yellowcard Leandro Garate 80'

AEK Athens vs AEL Larissa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 3.30pm
Volos 2 - 2 AEK Athens
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Luka Jovic

AEL Larissa

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
OFI Crete 3 - 0 Larissa
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ángelo Sagal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 69.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.91% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.99%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%) , while for a AEL Larissa win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.

Result

AEK Athens 69.91%
Draw 19.91%
AEL Larissa 10.18% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.45% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.71% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 27.29% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 48.43% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 51.57% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 26.56% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 73.44% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.78% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.22% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AEK Athens 47.21%
Draw 36.66%
AEL Larissa 16.12%

Team To Score First

AEK Athens 68.16% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.9% (-0.03)
AEL Larissa 23.94%

Corners

Over 8 48.14%
Equal 8 12.23%
Under 8 39.63%
Over 9 36.59%
Equal 9 11.55%
Under 9 51.86%
Over 10.5 26.58%
Under 10.5 73.42%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 1.5 58.53% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 41.47% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 31.94% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 68.06% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 14.73% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 85.27% (-0.03)

AEL Larissa Goals

Over 0.5 39.08% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 60.92% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 10.88% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 89.12% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 1.96% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 98.04% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 0.29%
Under 3.5 99.71%

Score analysis

AEK Athens 69.92%
Draw 19.92%
AEL Larissa 10.2%
AEK Athens
1-0 @ 15.01% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 13.99%
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 9.34%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-2 @ 1.95%
Other @ 14.72% (+0.03)
Total : 69.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.92%
AEL Larissa
0-1 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 10.2%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague
Sep 21, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Greek Superleague Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2021 3.15pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Alexandros Nikolias 70' goal
  • Mathias Acuna 80' goal
  • Nikola Jakimovski 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ionut Nedelcearu 3'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 14'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 43'
  • yellowcard Damian Szymanski 60'
  • goal Christos Albanis 90'
  • goal Damian Szymanski 90'+7'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 9
Nov 22, 2020 1.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
  • Ionut Nedelcearu 29' yellowcard
  • Theodosis Macheras 55' goal
  • Andre Simoes 70' yellowcard
  • Karim Ansarifard 72' goal
  • Andre Simoes 79' goal
  • Konstantinos Galanopoulos 89' goal
  • yellowcard Vangelis Platelas 48'
  • goal Radomir Milosavljevic 67'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2020 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium
  • Andre Simoes 45' goal
  • Nelson Oliveira 50' goal
  • Nelson Oliveira 51' yellowcard
  • Helder Lopes 62' goal
  • yellowcard Manolis Bertos 45'
  • yellowcard Radomir Milosavljevic 57'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2019 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT AEL Arena (Larissa)
  • Adnan Secerovic 2' yellowcard
  • Ergys Kace 14' yellowcard
  • Manolis Bertos 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Livaja 6'
  • yellowcard Ognjen Vranjes 7'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 50'
  • yellowcard Chico Geraldes 77'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 29
Apr 21, 2019 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis (Athína (Athens))
  • Ezequiel Ponce 44' yellowcard
  • goal Slavko Bralic 28'
  • yellowcard Nikola Zizic 53'
  • yellowcard Adnan Secerovic 73'
  • yellowcard Stefan Zivkovic 94'