Greek Superleague Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Pankritio Stadio

OFI Crete vs AEL Larissa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

OFI Crete

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 2.00pm
OFI Crete 0 - 2 Panathinaikos
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Eddie Salcedo

AEL Larissa

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 4.00pm
Larissa 1 - 1 PAOK
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Ángelo Sagal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a OFI Crete win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for AEL Larissa has a probability of 31.41% and a draw has a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest AEL Larissa win is 0-1 (9.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result

OFI Crete 41.45% (+0.11)
Draw 27.13% (-0.02)
AEL Larissa 31.41% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.72% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.81% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.19% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 46.9% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.1% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 25.64% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.36% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.22% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.78% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

OFI Crete 31.29%
Draw 44.44%
AEL Larissa 24.27%

Team To Score First

OFI Crete 47.42% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.12% (+0.02)
AEL Larissa 44.46% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.21%
Equal 8 12.01% (-0.01)
Under 8 37.78% (+0.01)
Over 9 38.67%
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 49.79%
Over 10.5 28.48%
Under 10.5 71.52%

OFI Crete Goals

Over 1.5 38.97% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.03% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.89% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.11% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.04% (-0.02)

AEL Larissa Goals

Over 0.5 65.6% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 34.4% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 31.11% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 68.89% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 10.52% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 89.48% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.02% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.98% (+0.02)

Score analysis

OFI Crete 41.45%
Draw 27.14%
AEL Larissa 31.41%
OFI Crete
1-0 @ 10.86% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.24% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.19% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43%
Other @ 4.87% (+0.03)
Total : 41.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.12% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.14%
AEL Larissa
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.13% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.93% (-0.01)
Total : 31.41%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague
Nov 22, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Greek Superleague Gameweek 5
Apr 24, 2021 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alkazar
  • Manolis Bertos 37' yellowcard
  • Manuel Stiefler 74' yellowcard
  • Uros Cosic 80' yellowcard
  • Nikos Karanikas 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan de Guzman 33'
  • yellowcard Vajebah Sakor 37'
  • yellowcard Nikos Korovesis 39'
  • yellowcard Miguel Mellado 84'
  • redcard Konstantinos Giannoulis 84'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 25
Mar 6, 2021 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Paschalis Staikos 2' goal
  • Jonathan de Guzman 74' goal
  • Jonathan de Guzman 77' yellowcard
  • Nazareno Solis 78' redcard
  • Miguel Mellado 79' yellowcard
  • goal Fiorin Durmishaj 29'
  • yellowcard Maxym Maksymenko 38'
  • goal Mathias Acuna 63'
  • yellowcard Fiorin Durmishaj 65'
  • yellowcard Theocharis Iliadis 79'
  • goal Fiorin Durmishaj 84'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 12
Dec 12, 2020 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Spyridon Glinos 76' yellowcard
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 77' yellowcard
  • Vangelis Platelas 87' yellowcard
  • Tim Sparv 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Nikola Trujic 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Tim Sparv 58' (OG)
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Balogiannis 67'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Sotiriou 89'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2020 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Theodoros Vardinogiannis Stadium
  • Miguel Mellado 61' yellowcard
  • Nikos Korovesis 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Radomir Milosavljevic 55'
  • yellowcard Ali Ghazal 59'
  • yellowcard Mateo Muzek 72'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bustos 86'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 9
Nov 3, 2019 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT AEL Arena (Larissa)
  • Vangelis Moras 14' goal
  • Ergys Kace 44' yellowcard
  • Slavko Bralic 53' yellowcard
  • Radomir Milosavljevic 68' goal
  • Abiola Dauda 79' goal
  • Nikola Stankovic 93' yellowcard
  • goal Lisandro Semedo 4'
  • goal Kosmas Tsilianidis 7'
  • yellowcard Kosmas Tsilianidis 27'
  • yellowcard Oscar Whalley 64'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Giannoulis 66'