Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Atromitos had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Atromitos win was 0-1 (10.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.