Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.73% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.53%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%) , while for a Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.