Conference League
Mar 19, 2026 5.45pm
OPAP Arena

AEK Athens vs Celje - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Celje 0 - 4 AEK Athens

Celje

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
Celje 0 - 4 AEK Athens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AEK Athens win with a probability of 54%. A win for Celje has a probability of 23.52% and a draw has a probability of 22.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Celje win is 1-2 (5.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.5%).

Result

AEK Athens 54% (-1.01)
Draw 22.48% (+0.25)
Celje 23.52% (+0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.65% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.23% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 20.77% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 56.91% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 43.09% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 34.54% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 65.46% (-0.36)
Over 4.5 21.24% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 78.76% (-0.22)

First Half Winner

AEK Athens 35.91% (-1.25)
Draw 38.54% (-0.06)
Celje 25.56% (+1.30)

Team To Score First

AEK Athens 56% (-1.18)
No Goal 5.36% (+0.06)
Celje 38.64% (+1.12)

Corners

Over 8 43.88% (-1.76)
Equal 8 11.96% (-0.05)
Under 8 44.16% (+1.81)
Over 9 32.95% (-1.56)
Equal 9 10.93% (-0.21)
Under 9 56.12% (+1.76)
Over 10.5 23.74% (-1.28)
Under 10.5 76.26% (+1.28)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 1.5 53% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 47% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 27.5% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 72.5% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 11.53% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 88.47% (+0.27)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5 59.72% (+0.87)
Under 0.5 40.28% (-0.87)
Over 1.5 27.83% (+0.98)
Under 1.5 72.17% (-0.99)
Over 2.5 9.71% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 90.29% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 3.18% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 96.82% (-0.37)

Score analysis

AEK Athens 54%
Draw 22.48%
Celje 23.5%
AEK Athens
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.25)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.54% (+0.07)
Other @ 11.4% (-0.33)
Total : 54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.5% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.31% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.05)
Total : 22.48%
Celje
1-2 @ 5.94% (+0.16)
0-1 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.33% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.17% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.94% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.24% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.05% (+0.31)
Total : 23.5%

Head to Head

Conference League
Mar 12, 2026 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Stadion Z'dežele
  • David Castro 46' yellowcard
  • Papa Daniel 46' yellowcard
  • Milot Avdyli 57' yellowcard
  • Andrej Kotnik 75' yellowcard
  • Ivica Vidovic 85' yellowcard
  • goal Barnabás Varga 3'
  • goal Aboubakary Koita 33'
  • goal Mijat Gacinovic 36'
  • goal Harold Moukoudi 49'
  • yellowcard Dereck Kutesa 73'
  • yellowcard Roberto Pereyra 74'
  • yellowcard Zini 78'
  • yellowcard Petros Mantalos 78'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Kaloskamis 86'
Conference League
Oct 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT