Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 54%. A win for Celje had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (5.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.