Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.27% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.22%) and 2-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.