Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2026 12.45am
Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United vs New England Revolution - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.30am
New England 1 - 0 DC United
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Brayan Ceballos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for New England Revolution has a probability of 28.28% and a draw has a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest New England Revolution win is 1-2 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.23%).

Result

Atlanta United 46.7%
Draw 25.06%
New England Revolution 28.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.94%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.42%
Under 1.5 20.58%
Over 2.5 57.26%
Under 2.5 42.74%
Over 3.5 34.69%
Under 3.5 65.31%
Over 4.5 20.62%
Under 4.5 79.38%

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 37.75%
Draw 39.41%
New England Revolution 22.84%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 55.5%
No Goal 5.69%
New England Revolution 38.81%

Corners

Over 8 59.16%
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 29.31%
Over 9 47.28%
Equal 9 11.89%
Under 9 40.84%
Over 10.5 36.06%
Under 10.5 63.94%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 48.7%
Under 1.5 51.3%
Over 2.5 23.68%
Under 2.5 76.32%
Over 3.5 9.58%
Under 3.5 90.42%

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5 65.54%
Under 0.5 34.46%
Over 1.5 33.38%
Under 1.5 66.62%
Over 2.5 12.79%
Under 2.5 87.21%
Over 3.5 4.01%
Under 3.5 95.99%

Score analysis

Atlanta United 46.7%
Draw 25.07%
New England Revolution 28.26%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 3.3%
Other @ 9.22%
Total : 46.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 25.07%
New England Revolution
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 28, 2025 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Miguel Almiron 28' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Carles Gil 36'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Urruti 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Alhassan Yusuf 77'
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 12.45am
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Giacomo Vrioni 12' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 12' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 45' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 45' goal
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 37'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 37'
  • goal Daniel Rios 90'
  • goal Daniel Rios 90'
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 12.30am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 55' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 55' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 60' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 60' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 74' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 74' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Matt Polster 45'+1'
  • goal Carles Gil 83'
  • goal Carles Gil 83'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 4 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Matt Polster 4' goal
  • Matt Polster 4' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 9' goal
  • Giacomo Vrioni 9' goal
  • Peyton Miller 90'+3' goal
  • goal Machop Chol 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 12.00am
3
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 56' goal
  • Thiago Almada 74' goal
  • Miguel Berry 87' goal
  • goal Carles Gil 1'
  • goal Bobby Wood 37'
  • goal Carles Gil 90'+3'