Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.