Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Rhode Island had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Rhode Island win was 0-1 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.