US Open Cup
Apr 15, 2026 12.00am
1
1
ET Gillette Stadium
  • Diego Fagúndez 51' goal
  • Jackson Yueill 60' yellowcard
  • Luca Langoni 80' yellowcard
  • Allan Oyirwoth 80' yellowcard
  • Andrew Farrell 86' yellowcard
  • Ilay Feingold 86' yellowcard
  • J. Da 90' yellowcard
  • J. Da 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hugo Bachrach 46'
  • yellowcard Jerome Williams 54'
  • yellowcard Jojea Kwizera 54'
  • yellowcard Leo Afonso 54'
  • yellowcard Hamady Diop 68'
  • yellowcard Frank Nodarse 96'
  • goal Jerome Williams 90'+11'

New England Revolution vs Rhode Island - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Rhode Island

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Rhode Island had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Rhode Island win was 0-1 (7.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

New England Revolution 45.34% (+0.48)
Draw 25.19% (+0.22)
Rhode Island 29.47% (-0.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.47% (-0.85)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.55% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 22.45% (+0.86)
Over 2.5 54.89% (-1.18)
Under 2.5 45.11% (+1.18)
Over 3.5 33.14% (-0.93)
Under 3.5 66.86% (+0.93)
Over 4.5 19.52% (-0.88)
Under 4.5 80.48% (+0.89)

First Half Winner

New England Revolution 33.46% (-1.02)
Draw 42.45% (+0.78)
Rhode Island 24.08% (+0.25)

Team To Score First

New England Revolution 52.26% (-1.25)
No Goal 6.1% (+0.24)
Rhode Island 41.64% (+1.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.65% (-2.22)
Equal 8 11.85% (-0.13)
Under 8 39.51% (+2.36)
Over 9 37.4% (-1.92)
Equal 9 11.24% (-0.33)
Under 9 51.35% (+2.22)
Over 10.5 27.57% (-1.49)
Under 10.5 72.43% (+1.50)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 1.5 46.15% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 53.85% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 21.8% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 78.2% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 8.47% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 91.53% (+0.24)

Rhode Island Goals

Over 0.5 65.49% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 34.51% (+0.91)
Over 1.5 33.31% (-1.02)
Under 1.5 66.69% (+1.02)
Over 2.5 13.14% (-0.73)
Under 2.5 86.86% (+0.74)
Over 3.5 4.39% (-0.49)
Under 3.5 95.61% (+0.49)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 45.33%
Draw 25.19%
Rhode Island 29.46%
New England Revolution
1-0 @ 9.26% (+0.53)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 7.11% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-0 @ 3.94% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.08% (-0.20)
Total : 45.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.1% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.39% (-0.03)
Total : 25.19%
Rhode Island
0-1 @ 7.07% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.19% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.12)
Other @ 4% (-0.46)
Total : 29.46%