Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rhode Island win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Hartford Athletic had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rhode Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a Hartford Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.