Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rhode Island win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.67% and a win for Sarasota Paradise had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rhode Island win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%) , while for a Sarasota Paradise win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.