Major League Soccer
Mar 7, 2026 7.30pm
Gillette Stadium

New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 7.30pm
NY Red Bulls 1 - 0 New England
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Brayan Ceballos

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 1.30am
Houston 0 - 2 Los Angeles
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Guilherme

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

New England Revolution 38.95% (-0.06)
Draw 25.91%
Houston Dynamo 35.1% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.02% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.52% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.48% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 55.44% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.56% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.27%
Under 3.5 65.73%
Over 4.5 20.32%
Under 4.5 79.68%

First Half Winner

New England Revolution 32.84% (-0.05)
Draw 41.62% (-0.03)
Houston Dynamo 25.54% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

New England Revolution 51.75% (-0.01)
No Goal 6.45%
Houston Dynamo 41.8% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.59% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.29%
Under 8 29.12% (-0.03)
Over 9 47.92% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 40.41% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 36.86% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.14% (-0.04)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 1.5 41.86% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 58.14% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 19.04% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.96% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.52% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.48% (+0.03)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 69.79% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.21% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.36% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.64% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 16.39% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.61% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.68% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.32% (-0.04)

Score analysis

New England Revolution 38.96%
Draw 25.91%
Houston Dynamo 35.1%
New England Revolution
1-0 @ 8.19%
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-2 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.12% (-0.04)
Total : 38.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.4% (+0.02)
Total : 25.91%
Houston Dynamo
0-1 @ 7.81% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.28% (+0.03)
Total : 35.1%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Gillette Stadium
  • 45' goal
  • 53' goal
  • goal 10'
  • goal 64'
  • goal 114'
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Daniel Steres 8' yellowcard
  • Daniel Steres 8' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 50' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 50' goal
  • Erik Sviatchenko 68' goal
  • Erik Sviatchenko 68' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Carles Gil 54'
  • goal Carles Gil 54'
  • yellowcard Peyton Miller 68'
  • yellowcard Peyton Miller 68'
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Gillette Stadium
  • Dylan Borrero 42' goal
  • Bobby Wood 53' goal
  • Brandon Bye 65' goal
Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 1.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Darwin Quintero 37' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 76' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 85' goal
  • goal Carles Gil 63'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 27
Jul 4, 2020 1.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2019 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
  • Antonio Delamea Mlinar 45' yellowcard
  • Antonio Delamea Mlinar 51' goal
  • Andrew Farrell 54' yellowcard
  • Juan Agudelo 83' yellowcard
  • Teal Bunbury 91' goal
  • goal Darwin Ceren 25'
  • yellowcard Rommel Quioto 43'
  • yellowcard Juan Cabezas 82'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Fuenmayor 86'