Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.