Major League Soccer
May 14, 2026 2.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT America First Field
  • Diego Luna 46' yellowcard
  • Duane Holmes 49' goal
  • Zavier Gozo 57' goal
  • Sergi Solans 57' yellowcard
  • Zavier Gozo 64' goal
  • Zach Booth 75' yellowcard
  • Noel Caliskan 75' yellowcard
  • Aiden Hezarkhani 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateusz Bogusz 46'
  • yellowcard Antônio Carlos 46'
  • yellowcard Guilherme 55'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ennali 79'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ponce 85'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ponce 86'

Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 1.30am
Dallas 3 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Sergi Solans

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 11, 2026 2.00am
Los Angeles 1 - 4 Houston
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Guilherme

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Real Salt Lake 49.74% (-0.15)
Draw 22.36% (+0.09)
Houston Dynamo 27.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

65.12% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.29% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 15.71% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 64.75% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 35.25% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 42.15% (-0.31)
Under 3.5 57.85% (+0.31)
Over 4.5 26.63% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 73.37% (+0.19)

First Half Winner

Real Salt Lake 41.96% (-0.12)
Draw 35.59% (+0.09)
Houston Dynamo 22.45% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Real Salt Lake 59.08% (-0.22)
No Goal 3.74% (+0.11)
Houston Dynamo 37.18% (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 65.37% (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.94% (-0.03)
Under 8 23.69% (-0.09)
Over 9 53.47% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 34.63% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 41.7% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 58.3% (-0.11)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 1.5 54.74% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 45.26% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 28.75% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 71.25% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 12.3% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 87.7% (+0.08)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 66.71% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 33.29% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 36.15% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 63.85% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 14.9% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 85.1% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.2% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.8% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Real Salt Lake 49.74%
Draw 22.36%
Houston Dynamo 27.9%
Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.9% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.97% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 4.37% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.18%
Other @ 11.99% (-0.08)
Total : 49.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.74% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.74% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.36%
Houston Dynamo
1-2 @ 6.9% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.39% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.89% (-0.05)
Total : 27.9%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Ezequiel Ponce 16' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 16' goal
  • Franco Escobar 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Franco Escobar 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Ethan Bartlow 58' yellowcard
  • Ethan Bartlow 58' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Diogo Goncalves 1'
  • goal Diogo Goncalves 1'
  • goal Diego Luna 45'+5'
  • goal Diego Luna 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Bode Davis 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Bode Davis 45'+8'
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Daniel Steres 24' yellowcard
  • Daniel Steres 24' yellowcard
  • Amine Bassi 27' goal
  • Amine Bassi 27' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 38' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 38' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 45'+3' goal
  • Griffin Dorsey 45'+3' goal
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 75' goal
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 75' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 81' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 81' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 31'
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 31'
  • goal Erik Sviatchenko 49' (OG)
  • goal Erik Sviatchenko 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 63'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 63'
  • yellowcard Justen Glad 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Justen Glad 90'+5'
Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2024 2.00am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Hector Herrera 7' goal
  • Hector Herrera 7' goal
  • Micael 24' goal
  • Micael 24' goal
  • Justen Glad 42' goal
  • Justen Glad 42' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 62' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 62' yellowcard
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 2.30am
3
2
HT : 4 2
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Andres Gomez 22' goal
  • Andres Gomez 22' goal
  • Diego Luna 42' goal
  • Diego Luna 42' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 67' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 67' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 77' yellowcard
  • Braian Ojeda 77' yellowcard
  • Emeka Eneli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Emeka Eneli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Latif Blessing 5'
  • yellowcard Latif Blessing 5'
  • goal Aliyu Ibrahim 8'
  • goal Aliyu Ibrahim 8'
  • goal Andrew Brody 55' (OG)
  • goal Andrew Brody 55' (OG)
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Nov 11, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Corey Baird 20' yellowcard
  • Corey Baird 28' goal
  • yellowcard Jefferson Savarino 46'
  • goal Diego Luna 65'
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 66'
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 72'