Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.