Major League Soccer
May 14, 2026 2.30am
America First Field

Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 10, 2026 1.30am
Dallas 3 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Sergi Solans

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 11, 2026 2.00am
Los Angeles 1 - 4 Houston
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Guilherme

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Houston Dynamo has a probability of 27.71% and a draw has a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win is 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.21%).

Result

Real Salt Lake 49.53% (+0.13)
Draw 22.75%
Houston Dynamo 27.71% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.95% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.71% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 16.29% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 63.5% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 36.5% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 40.44% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 59.56% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 25.49% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 74.51% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Real Salt Lake 41.2% (-0.02)
Draw 35.85% (-0.04)
Houston Dynamo 22.94% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Real Salt Lake 58.54% (-0.04)
No Goal 3.98% (+0.03)
Houston Dynamo 37.48% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.48% (+0.16)
Equal 8 11.31%
Under 8 26.21% (-0.17)
Over 9 50.49% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.99% (+0.02)
Under 9 37.52% (-0.16)
Over 10.5 38.9% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 61.1% (-0.11)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 1.5 53.86% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 46.14% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 28.21% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 71.79% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.26% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 87.74% (+0.04)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 65.97% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 34.03% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 35.1% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 64.9% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 14.2% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 85.8% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 4.73% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 95.27% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Real Salt Lake 49.54%
Draw 22.75%
Houston Dynamo 27.71%
Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.85% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 7.17% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 6.49% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.42% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.04)
Other @ 11.97% (-0.02)
Total : 49.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.21% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.98% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.29% (-0.02)
Total : 22.75%
Houston Dynamo
1-2 @ 7.05% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.14% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.93% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.76% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.44% (-0.09)
Total : 27.71%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Ezequiel Ponce 16' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 16' goal
  • Franco Escobar 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Franco Escobar 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Ethan Bartlow 58' yellowcard
  • Ethan Bartlow 58' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Diogo Goncalves 1'
  • goal Diogo Goncalves 1'
  • goal Diego Luna 45'+5'
  • goal Diego Luna 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Bode Davis 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Bode Davis 45'+8'
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 1.30am
4
1
HT : 4 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Daniel Steres 24' yellowcard
  • Daniel Steres 24' yellowcard
  • Amine Bassi 27' goal
  • Amine Bassi 27' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 38' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 38' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 45'+3' goal
  • Griffin Dorsey 45'+3' goal
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 75' goal
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 75' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 81' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 81' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 31'
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 31'
  • goal Erik Sviatchenko 49' (OG)
  • goal Erik Sviatchenko 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 63'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 63'
  • yellowcard Justen Glad 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Justen Glad 90'+5'
Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2024 2.00am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Hector Herrera 7' goal
  • Hector Herrera 7' goal
  • Micael 24' goal
  • Micael 24' goal
  • Justen Glad 42' goal
  • Justen Glad 42' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 62' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 62' yellowcard
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 2.30am
3
2
HT : 4 2
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Andres Gomez 22' goal
  • Andres Gomez 22' goal
  • Diego Luna 42' goal
  • Diego Luna 42' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 67' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 67' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 77' yellowcard
  • Braian Ojeda 77' yellowcard
  • Emeka Eneli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Emeka Eneli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Latif Blessing 5'
  • yellowcard Latif Blessing 5'
  • goal Aliyu Ibrahim 8'
  • goal Aliyu Ibrahim 8'
  • goal Andrew Brody 55' (OG)
  • goal Andrew Brody 55' (OG)
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Nov 11, 2023 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Corey Baird 20' yellowcard
  • Corey Baird 28' goal
  • yellowcard Jefferson Savarino 46'
  • goal Diego Luna 65'
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 66'
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 72'