Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%).