Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.