Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Shell Energy Stadium
  • Ibrahim Aliyu 35' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 66' yellowcard
  • Artur  66' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Ennali 75' yellowcard
  • Héctor Herrera 75' yellowcard
  • Héctor Herrera 77' yellowcard
  • Erik Sviatchenko 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Ingvartsen 66'
  • yellowcard Amahl Pellegrino 66'
  • yellowcard David Vazquez 77'
  • yellowcard Ian Pilcher 77'
  • yellowcard David Vazquez 78'
  • yellowcard Ian Pilcher 79'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Alvarado  90'+1'

Houston Dynamo vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
Orlando City 0 - 1 Houston
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Guilherme

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 2.30am
Salt Lake 4 - 2 San Diego
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest San Diego win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Houston Dynamo 47.4% (+0.02)
Draw 23.09%
San Diego 29.51% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.52% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.97% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17.03% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.56%
Under 2.5 37.44% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 40.59%
Under 3.5 59.41%
Over 4.5 25.18% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 74.82% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Houston Dynamo 39.25% (-0.01)
Draw 37.86%
San Diego 22.89% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Houston Dynamo 57.94% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.21%
San Diego 37.85% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.57% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.76% (-0.01)
Under 8 36.67% (+0.04)
Over 9 40.16% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.41% (-0.01)
Under 9 48.43% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 29.97% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 70.03% (+0.02)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 1.5 51.76% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.24% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 26.44% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.56% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 11.01% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.99% (-0.03)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 67.22% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.78% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.82% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.18% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 15.75% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.67% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 47.4%
Draw 23.09%
San Diego 29.51%
Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 7.42% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 10.63% (+0.02)
Total : 47.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.38% (+0.02)
Total : 23.09%
San Diego
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-1 @ 5.4%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 5.29%
Total : 29.51%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 1.30am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 6, 2025 3.30am
3
4
HT : 0 0
FT