Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Paso Locomotive win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Paso Locomotive win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%).