Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-0 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.