Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.