Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.65% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%) , while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 0-1 (4.84%).