CONCACAF Champions League
Apr 9, 2026 4.00am
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca vs Los Angeles Galaxy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 60.78%. A draw has a probability of 21.65% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy has a probability of 17.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.26%) , while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it is 0-1 (4.84%).

Result

Toluca 60.78% (-0.04)
Draw 21.65%
Los Angeles Galaxy 17.56% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.67% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.06% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 22.94% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 54.99% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 45.01% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 34.45%
Under 3.5 65.55%
Over 4.5 22.46% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.54% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Toluca 47.94%
Draw 33.25%
Los Angeles Galaxy 18.82%

Team To Score First

Toluca 64.11% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.56% (+0.03)
Los Angeles Galaxy 29.33%

Corners

Over 8 55.74% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 32.93% (-0.03)
Over 9 44.39% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.36% (+0.01)
Under 9 44.26% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 33.9%
Under 10.5 66.1%

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 56.71% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 43.29% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 30.88% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 69.12% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 14.26% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 85.74% (+0.02)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5 50.79% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 49.21% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.74% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 78.26% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.58% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.42% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.51% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.49% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Toluca 60.78%
Draw 21.66%
Los Angeles Galaxy 17.55%
Toluca
1-0 @ 11.53% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 14.04% (-0.04)
Total : 60.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 21.66%
Los Angeles Galaxy
0-1 @ 4.84% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.2% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.29% (+0.03)
Total : 17.55%