Liga MX Gameweek 13
Apr 5, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Francisco Venegas 62' yellowcard
  • Alí Ávila 76' goal
  • B. Parra 85' yellowcard
  • Carlos Villanueva 85' yellowcard
  • Juan Robles 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Lucas Rodríguez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesús Gallardo 58'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 58'
  • yellowcard Alexis Vega 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastián Córdova 72'
  • yellowcard Santiago Simón 79'
  • yellowcard Franco Rossi 79'

Queretaro vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Queretaro

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 11.00pm
Atlas 0 - 0 Queretaro
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Mateo Coronel

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 11.00pm
Pachuca 1 - 1 Toluca
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.83% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Queretaro 18.04%
Draw 23.83% (+0.04)
Toluca 58.17% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.58% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.2% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 27.8% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 47.02% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 52.98% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.35% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 73.65% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.15% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.85% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Queretaro 20.02%
Draw 41.09%
Toluca 38.89%

Team To Score First

Queretaro 28.53% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.89% (+0.05)
Toluca 63.58% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.08%
Equal 8 11.62%
Under 8 31.31%
Over 9 45.3%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 42.92%
Over 10.5 34.35%
Under 10.5 65.65%

Queretaro Goals

Over 1.5 19.14% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 80.86% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.87% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.13% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.11%
Under 3.5 98.89%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 81.16% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 18.84% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 50.8% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 49.2% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 24.36% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 75.64% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.43% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.57% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Queretaro 18.04%
Draw 23.83%
Toluca 58.16%
Queretaro
1-0 @ 6.54% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.84% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.44%
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 18.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.89% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.83%
Toluca
0-1 @ 13.4%
0-2 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.96% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.8%
Other @ 9.42% (-0.01)
Total : 58.16%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Oct 19, 2025 12.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 27, 2025 3.00am
5
0
HT : 8 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Luan Garcia 25' goal
  • Luan Garcia 25' goal
  • Paulinho 31' goal
  • Paulinho 31' goal
  • Isaias Violante 37' goal
  • Isaias Violante 37' goal
  • Alexis Vega 43' goal
  • Alexis Vega 43' goal
  • Robert Morales 89' goal
  • Robert Morales 89' goal
  • yellowcard Erick Fernando Gonzalez Garcia 40'
  • yellowcard Erick Fernando Gonzalez Garcia 40'
  • yellowcard Jaime Gomez 58'
  • yellowcard Jaime Gomez 58'
  • yellowcard Francisco Venegas 82'
  • yellowcard Francisco Venegas 82'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 2.00am
0
1
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Lucas Rodriguez 15' goal
  • Sebastian Hernandez 55' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Hernandez 55' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 84' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 84' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 45'+3'
  • goal Paulinho 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 59'
  • yellowcard Luan Garcia 59'
Liga MX Gameweek 1
Jan 13, 2024 1.00am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Emanuel Gularte 7' goal
  • Emanuel Gularte 7' goal
  • Miguel Barbieri 33' yellowcard
  • Miguel Barbieri 33' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 56' goal
  • Pablo Nicolas Ortiz 56' goal
  • Guillermo Allison 87' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Allison 87' yellowcard
  • goal Edgar Lopez 66'
  • goal Edgar Lopez 66'
  • yellowcard Edgar Lopez 73'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 73'
  • yellowcard Edgar Lopez 73'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 73'
  • goal Federico Pereira 90'+6'
  • goal Federico Pereira 90'+6'
Liga MX Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2023 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Edgar Lopez 2' goal
  • Tiago Volpi 58' goal
  • Edgar Lopez 66' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Gularte 36'
  • goal Camilo Sanvezzo 40'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrera 61'
  • yellowcard Kevin Escamilla 76'
Liga MX Gameweek 10
Mar 6, 2023 1.05am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio La Corregidora
  • Jonathan Torres 31' goal