Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026 1.30am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Shell Energy Stadium
  • Mateusz Bogusz 12' goal
  • Mateusz Bogusz 29' goal
  • Guilherme 32' goal
  • Felipe Andrade 42' yellowcard
  • Lucas Halter 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ilie Sánchez 18'
  • yellowcard Besard Sabovic 62'

Houston Dynamo vs Austin FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 1.30am
Houston 1 - 1 DC United
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Guilherme

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 2.30am
Austin 3 - 1 Seattle
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Myrto Uzuni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.57% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Houston Dynamo 60.65% (-0.93)
Draw 20.57% (+0.11)
Austin FC 18.8% (+0.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.31% (+1.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.86% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 18.14% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 60.67% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 39.33% (-0.83)
Over 3.5 37.86% (+1.07)
Under 3.5 62.14% (-1.07)
Over 4.5 24.05% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 75.95% (-0.75)

First Half Winner

Houston Dynamo 47.35% (-0.25)
Draw 36.86% (+0.08)
Austin FC 15.79% (+0.17)

Team To Score First

Houston Dynamo 67.85% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.45% (-0.19)
Austin FC 27.7% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 45.39% (-22.38)
Equal 8 11.15% (+0.87)
Under 8 43.45% (+21.51)
Over 9 35.05% (-21.32)
Equal 9 10.35% (-1.05)
Under 9 54.61% (+22.37)
Over 10.5 26.16% (-18.70)
Under 10.5 73.84% (+18.71)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 1.5 59.9% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 40.1% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 33.32% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 66.68% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 15.14% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 84.86% (-0.16)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 55.64% (+1.01)
Under 0.5 44.36% (-1.01)
Over 1.5 24.74% (+1.19)
Under 1.5 75.26% (-1.19)
Over 2.5 8% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 92% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 2.31% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 97.69% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 60.65%
Draw 20.57%
Austin FC 18.81%
Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 10.21% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.31)
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.42)
3-1 @ 6.71% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.5% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.79% (+0.07)
Other @ 14.98% (+0.12)
Total : 60.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.12)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.05)
Total : 20.57%
Austin FC
1-2 @ 5.17% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 4.52%
0-2 @ 2.46% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.79% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.16)
Other @ 2.15% (+0.25)
Total : 18.81%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2026 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Q2 Stadium
  • Jayden Nelson 13' goal
  • Jon Gallagher 40' yellowcard
  • Myrto Uzuni 45'+2' goal
  • CJ Fodrey 65' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Dubersarsky 66' yellowcard
  • CJ Fodrey 66' yellowcard
  • Jon Bell 84' yellowcard
  • Besard Sabovic 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antônio Carlos 46'
  • yellowcard Jack McGlynn  55'
  • yellowcard Diadié Samassékou 55'
  • yellowcard Nick Markanich 75'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Aliyu 82'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 10, 2025 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Apr 27, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Ezequiel Ponce 27' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 27' yellowcard
  • Ondrej Lingr 61' goal
  • Ondrej Lingr 61' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 79' goal
  • Ezequiel Ponce 79' goal
  • Franco Escobar 82' yellowcard
  • Franco Escobar 82' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 88' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Biro 24'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Biro 24'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dubersarsky 72'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dubersarsky 72'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Svatok 76'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Svatok 76'
  • yellowcard Julio Cascante 84'
  • yellowcard Julio Cascante 84'
  • yellowcard Diego Rubio 88'
  • yellowcard Diego Rubio 88'
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Al Saqr Stadium
  • Sebastian Driussi 33' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 33' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 38' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 38' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Biro 57' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Biro 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 42'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 42'
  • goal Adalberto Carrasquilla 84'
  • goal Adalberto Carrasquilla 84'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kowalczyk 90'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kowalczyk 90'
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bold Stadium
  • Julio Cascante 31' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 31' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 87' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 87' goal
  • Jon Gallagher 90' yellowcard
  • Jon Gallagher 90' yellowcard
  • Calvin Fodrey 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Calvin Fodrey 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 60'
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 60'
Major League Soccer
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Reliant Stadium
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 28' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 28' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 37' yellowcard
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla 37' yellowcard
  • Artur 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Artur 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 77' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 77' yellowcard
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 86'
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 86'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Driussi 87'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Driussi 87'
  • yellowcard Gyasi Zardes 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Gyasi Zardes 90'+3'