Major League Soccer
May 17, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Q2 Stadium
  • Mikkel Desler 45'+1' goal
  • Jayden Nelson 60' yellowcard
  • Jon Gallagher 60' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pereira 73' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 73' yellowcard
  • CJ Fodrey 84' yellowcard
  • CJ Fodrey 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shapi Suleymanov 46'
  • yellowcard Manu García 63'
  • yellowcard Justin Reynolds 64'
  • yellowcard Manu García 64'
  • yellowcard Stephen Afrifa 75'
  • goal Manu García 79'
  • goal Stephen Afrifa 82'
  • yellowcard Ethan Bartlow 83'

Austin FC vs Sporting Kansas City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2026 2.30am
San Diego 5 - 0 Austin
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Myrto Uzuni

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 14, 2026 1.30am
Kansas 3 - 1 LA Galaxy
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljić

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.03% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Austin FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%) , while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Austin FC 64.3% (-1.58)
Draw 20.03% (+0.05)
Sporting Kansas City 15.68% (+1.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.24% (+2.53)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.15% (+1.00)
Under 1.5 19.85% (-0.99)
Over 2.5 58.38% (+1.28)
Under 2.5 41.62% (-1.28)
Over 3.5 35.93% (+2.12)
Under 3.5 64.05% (-2.15)
Over 4.5 23.64% (+1.22)
Under 4.5 76.36% (-1.21)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 51.19% (+0.72)
Draw 35.22% (-0.11)
Sporting Kansas City 13.59% (-0.63)

Team To Score First

Austin FC 69.98% (+2.61)
No Goal 5.17% (-0.47)
Sporting Kansas City 24.85% (-2.13)

Corners

Over 8 33.24% (-25.19)
Equal 8 10.08% (-1.08)
Under 8 56.68% (+26.25)
Over 9 24.78% (-22.23)
Equal 9 8.45% (-2.97)
Under 9 66.76% (+25.20)
Over 10.5 18.19% (-18.07)
Under 10.5 81.81% (+18.07)

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 61.04% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 38.96% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 34.91% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 65.09% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 16.87% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 83.13% (+0.15)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5 50.16% (+2.50)
Under 0.5 49.84% (-2.50)
Over 1.5 19.91% (+2.36)
Under 1.5 80.09% (-2.35)
Over 2.5 5.64% (+1.13)
Under 2.5 94.36% (-1.13)
Over 3.5 1.41% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 98.59% (-0.44)

Score analysis

Austin FC 64.3%
Draw 20.03%
Sporting Kansas City 15.67%
Austin FC
2-0 @ 10.27% (-0.67)
1-0 @ 10.15% (-0.59)
2-1 @ 9.99% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 7.49% (-0.67)
3-1 @ 6.42% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.22% (+0.45)
Other @ 16.76% (-0.11)
Total : 64.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.31% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.47)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.38)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.04)
Total : 20.03%
Sporting Kansas City
0-1 @ 4.53% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.33% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.19% (+0.33)
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.34)
Other @ 1.3% (+0.48)
Total : 15.67%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Q2 Stadium
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 8, 2025 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al Saqr Stadium
  • Mikkel Desler 36' yellowcard
  • Mikkel Desler 36' yellowcard
  • Ilie Sanchez 58' yellowcard
  • Ilie Sanchez 58' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 62' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 62' yellowcard
  • Osman Bukari 76' goal
  • Osman Bukari 76' goal
  • yellowcard Erik Thommy 35'
  • yellowcard Erik Thommy 35'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 59'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 59'
  • yellowcard Dejan Joveljic 85'
  • yellowcard Dejan Joveljic 85'
  • yellowcard Jacob Davis 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jacob Davis 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Tim Leibold 26' goal
  • Tim Leibold 26' goal
  • Jacob Davis 34' yellowcard
  • Jacob Davis 34' yellowcard
  • Alan Pulido 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alan Pulido 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Stephen Afrifa 69' goal
  • Stephen Afrifa 69' goal
  • Johnny Russell 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Johnny Russell 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Owen Wolff 29'
  • yellowcard Owen Wolff 29'
  • yellowcard Diego Rubio 34'
  • yellowcard Diego Rubio 34'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 64'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 64'
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 1.30am
3
2
HT : 4 2
FT Bold Stadium
  • Julio Cascante 23' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 23' yellowcard
  • Jader Obrian 28' goal
  • Jader Obrian 28' goal
  • Jader Obrian 39' goal
  • Jader Obrian 39' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 46' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 46' goal
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 70' yellowcard
  • Zan Kolmanic 70' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pereira 89' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pereira 89' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Valencia 90' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Valencia 90' yellowcard
  • goal Johnny Russell 19'
  • goal Johnny Russell 19'
  • goal Jacob Davis 63'
  • goal Jacob Davis 63'
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 88'
  • yellowcard Andreu Fontas 88'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Radoja 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 2.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Al Saqr Stadium
  • Gyasi Zardes 17' goal
  • Gyasi Zardes 17' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 19' goal
  • Ethan Finlay 19' goal
  • goal Dany Rosero 33'
  • goal Dany Rosero 33'