Major League Soccer
May 2, 2026 7.30pm
Children's Mercy Park

Sporting Kansas City vs Seattle Sounders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 5 - 0 Kansas
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Dejan Joveljić

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 3.30am
Seattle 2 - 1 Dallas
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Paul Rothrock

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Sporting Kansas City has a probability of 26.92% and a draw has a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win is 1-0 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.6%).

Result

Sporting Kansas City 26.92%
Draw 25.48%
Seattle Sounders 47.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.63% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.37% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 51.78%
Under 2.5 48.22%
Over 3.5 29.48% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.52%
Over 4.5 16.38% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.62% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Sporting Kansas City 25.2%
Draw 40.63%
Seattle Sounders 34.17%

Team To Score First

Sporting Kansas City 41.11%
No Goal 6.86%
Seattle Sounders 52.03%

Corners

Over 8 54.57%
Equal 8 11.74%
Under 8 33.69%
Over 9 42.91%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 45.43%
Over 10.5 32.27%
Under 10.5 67.73%

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 1.5 29.35% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 70.65% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.03% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 89.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.73% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.27% (-0.02)

Seattle Sounders Goals

Over 0.5 77.52% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.48% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.59% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.03% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.97% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sporting Kansas City 26.92%
Draw 25.48%
Seattle Sounders 47.57%
Sporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 7.28%
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13%
3-1 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.54% (+0.02)
Total : 26.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.7% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.48%
Seattle Sounders
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.11%
1-3 @ 4.9%
0-3 @ 4.31% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.81% (+0.01)
Total : 47.57%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 25, 2025 2.15am
5
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 1.30am
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2024 12.15am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT CenturyLink Field
  • Jackson Ragen 19' goal
  • Jackson Ragen 19' goal
  • Reed Baker-Whiting 29' yellowcard
  • Reed Baker-Whiting 29' yellowcard
  • Paul Rothrock 40' goal
  • Paul Rothrock 40' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Salloi 38'
  • yellowcard Daniel Salloi 38'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 46'
  • yellowcard Zorhan Bassong 46'
Major League Soccer
Jun 9, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Johnny Russell 19' goal
  • Johnny Russell 19' goal
  • Jacob Davis 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Jacob Davis 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Johnny Russell 71' yellowcard
  • Obed Vargas 71' yellowcard
  • Alenis Vargas 85' goal
  • Alenis Vargas 85' goal
  • Khiry Shelton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Khiry Shelton 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Morris 13'
  • goal Jordan Morris 13'
  • yellowcard Reed Baker-Whiting 60'
  • yellowcard Reed Baker-Whiting 60'
  • yellowcard Yeimar Gomez Andrade 71'
  • yellowcard Johnny Russell 71'
  • redcard Reed Baker-Whiting 73'
  • redcard Reed Baker-Whiting 73'
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 9.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stubhub Center
  • Nicolas Lodeiro 66' goal
  • goal Erik Thommy 4'
  • goal Alan Pulido 31'
Major League Soccer
Mar 26, 2023 12.30am
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • William Agade 5' goal
  • goal Jordan Morris 23'
  • goal Jordan Morris 54'
  • goal Jordan Morris 69'
  • goal Jordan Morris 77'