Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.