Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Juarez win was 2-1 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.