Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Juarez win was 2-1 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.