Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (9.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.