Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 10.30pm
Q2 Stadium

Austin FC vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.30am
Austin 2 - 0 Houston
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Myrto Uzuni

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 2 - 3 Earthquakes
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Marcel Hartel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Austin FC win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw has a probability of 26.21% and a win for St Louis City has a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Austin FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.52%) , while for a St Louis City win it is 0-1 (7.13%).

Result

Austin FC 49.84% (-0.30)
Draw 26.21% (+0.18)
St Louis City 23.92% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.58% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.23% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 28.77% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 46.65% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 53.35% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 26.13% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 73.87% (+0.21)
Over 4.5 14.64% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 85.36% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Austin FC 37.03%
Draw 40.97%
St Louis City 22%

Team To Score First

Austin FC 53.44% (-0.09)
No Goal 8.58% (+0.16)
St Louis City 37.98% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 61.36%
Equal 8 10.92%
Under 8 27.72%
Over 9 49.93%
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 38.64%
Over 10.5 38.94%
Under 10.5 61.06%

Austin FC Goals

Over 1.5 44.67% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 55.33% (+0.41)
Over 2.5 19.46% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 80.54% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 7.1% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 92.9% (+0.14)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 57.19% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 42.81% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.3% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 74.7% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 8.62% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 91.38% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.57% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.43% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Austin FC 49.84%
Draw 26.21%
St Louis City 23.91%
Austin FC
1-0 @ 13.02% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.97% (-0.13)
Total : 49.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.58% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 26.21%
St Louis City
0-1 @ 7.13% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.47% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 23.91%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 7, 2026 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Energizer Park
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Oct 5, 2025 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT CityPark
  • Jannes Horn 40' yellowcard
  • goal Myrto Uzuni 33'
  • yellowcard Myrto Uzuni 45'
  • yellowcard Brandon Vazquez 80'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 84'
  • yellowcard Besard Sabovic 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 9.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT CityPark
  • Tomas Ostrak 3' yellowcard
  • Bradley Carnell 4' yellowcard
  • Chris Durkin 37' yellowcard
  • Klauss 57' goal
  • yellowcard Julio Cascante 10'
  • yellowcard Jon Gallagher 67'
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 1.30am
2
2
HT : 3 0
FT Bold Stadium
  • Matt Hedges 14' goal
  • Matt Hedges 14' goal
  • Matt Hedges 14' goal
  • Julio Cascante 51' goal
  • Julio Cascante 51' goal
  • Julio Cascante 51' goal
  • Julio Cascante 77' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 77' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Celio Pompeu 31'
  • yellowcard Celio Pompeu 31'
  • yellowcard Celio Pompeu 31'
  • goal Eduard Lowen 49'
  • goal Eduard Lowen 49'
  • goal Eduard Lowen 49'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 61'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 61'
  • yellowcard Tim Parker 61'
  • yellowcard Tomas Totland 65'
  • yellowcard Tomas Totland 65'
  • yellowcard Tomas Totland 65'
  • goal Celio Pompeu 90'+3'
  • goal Celio Pompeu 90'+3'
  • goal Celio Pompeu 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 2.30am
6
3
HT : 4 0
FT CityPark
  • Njabulo Blom 17' yellowcard
  • Njabulo Blom 17' yellowcard
  • Tim Parker 22' goal
  • Tim Parker 22' goal
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 45'+2' goal
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 45'+2' goal
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 50' goal
  • Nicholas Gioacchini 50' goal
  • Samuel Adeniran 72' goal
  • Samuel Adeniran 72' goal
  • Tomas Ostrak 88' goal
  • Tomas Ostrak 88' goal
  • Samuel Adeniran 90'+5' goal
  • Samuel Adeniran 90'+5' goal
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 61'
  • goal Sebastian Driussi 61'
  • goal Will Bruin 87'
  • goal Will Bruin 87'
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 90'+1'
  • goal Emiliano Rigoni 90'+1'