Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Tulsa Roughnecks had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Tulsa Roughnecks win was 1-2 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%).