Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tulsa Roughnecks win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.67% and a win for North Texas had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tulsa Roughnecks win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%) , while for a North Texas win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.