Club Friendlies 3
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
ONEOK Field

Tulsa Roughnecks vs Union Omaha - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tulsa Roughnecks

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.30pm
Tulsa Roughnecks 0 - 0 San Antonio

Union Omaha

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
Colorado Springs 4 - 0 Union Omaha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Tulsa Roughnecks win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Union Omaha has a probability of 29.24% and a draw has a probability of 27.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tulsa Roughnecks win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Union Omaha win is 0-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.18%).

Result

Tulsa Roughnecks 43.34%
Draw 27.42% (+0.02)
Union Omaha 29.24% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.3% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.7% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.2% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.8% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 27.28% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 72.67%
Over 4.5 15.55% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.45% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Tulsa Roughnecks 31.56%
Draw 45.77%
Union Omaha 22.67%

Team To Score First

Tulsa Roughnecks 52.15% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.22% (+0.03)
Union Omaha 38.63% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.92% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.64% (-0.06)
Under 8 36.44% (+0.02)
Over 9 40.58% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.33% (-0.06)
Under 9 48.08% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 30.42% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 69.58% (-0.13)

Tulsa Roughnecks Goals

Over 1.5 41.19% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.81% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.97% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.03% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.58% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.42% (+0.02)

Union Omaha Goals

Over 0.5 63.33% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.67% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 29.67% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 70.33% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.41% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.59% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Tulsa Roughnecks 43.34%
Draw 27.41%
Union Omaha 29.24%
Tulsa Roughnecks
1-0 @ 10.3% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.17% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.59%
Other @ 6.42% (-0.01)
Total : 43.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.22% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 27.41%
Union Omaha
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.25% (-0.03)
Total : 29.24%