Club Friendlies 3
Feb 28, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT ONEOK Field

Tulsa Roughnecks vs Union Omaha - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tulsa Roughnecks

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 3.30pm
Tulsa Roughnecks 0 - 0 San Antonio

Union Omaha

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 8.00pm
Colorado Springs 4 - 0 Union Omaha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tulsa Roughnecks win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Union Omaha had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tulsa Roughnecks win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Union Omaha win was 0-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Tulsa Roughnecks 43.34%
Draw 27.42% (+0.02)
Union Omaha 29.24% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.05%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.3% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.7% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.2% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.8% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 27.28% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 72.67%
Over 4.5 15.55% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 84.45% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Tulsa Roughnecks 31.56%
Draw 45.77%
Union Omaha 22.67%

Team To Score First

Tulsa Roughnecks 52.15% (-0.01)
No Goal 9.22% (+0.03)
Union Omaha 38.63% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.92% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.64% (-0.06)
Under 8 36.44% (+0.02)
Over 9 40.58% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.33% (-0.06)
Under 9 48.08% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 30.42% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 69.58% (-0.13)

Tulsa Roughnecks Goals

Over 1.5 41.19% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 58.81% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.97% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.03% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.58% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.42% (+0.02)

Union Omaha Goals

Over 0.5 63.33% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 36.67% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 29.67% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 70.33% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 11% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.41% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.59% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Tulsa Roughnecks 43.34%
Draw 27.41%
Union Omaha 29.24%
Tulsa Roughnecks
1-0 @ 10.3% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.17% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.59%
Other @ 6.42% (-0.01)
Total : 43.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.22% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 27.41%
Union Omaha
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6%
2-3 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.86% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.25% (-0.03)
Total : 29.24%