Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tulsa Roughnecks win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Little Rock Rangers had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tulsa Roughnecks win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Little Rock Rangers win was 1-0 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%).