Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%) , while for a Austin FC win it was 1-2 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.