Major League Soccer
May 11, 2026 12.00am
Allianz Field

Minnesota United vs Austin FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 10.30pm
Austin 2 - 0 St Louis City
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Myrto Uzuni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 52.82%. A draw has a probability of 23.8% and a win for Austin FC has a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.85%) , while for a Austin FC win it is 1-2 (6.34%).

Result

Minnesota United 52.82% (-0.04)
Draw 23.8%
Austin FC 23.39% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.62% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 20.38% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 57.07% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 42.93% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.22%
Under 3.5 65.78%
Over 4.5 20.55% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.45% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 41.53%
Draw 38.28%
Austin FC 20.19%

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 60.72% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.35% (-0.02)
Austin FC 33.93%

Corners

Over 8 71.71%
Equal 8 9.62%
Under 8 18.67%
Over 9 60.67%
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 28.29%
Over 10.5 49.13%
Under 10.5 50.87%

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 53.13%
Under 1.5 46.87%
Over 2.5 26.76%
Under 2.5 73.24%
Over 3.5 11.04%
Under 3.5 88.96%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 61.13% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 38.87% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 28.71% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 71.29% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 10.07% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.93% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.81% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.19% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 52.81%
Draw 23.81%
Austin FC 23.39%
Minnesota United
2-1 @ 10.1%
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 10.71%
Total : 52.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.81%
Austin FC
1-2 @ 6.34% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.19%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-3 @ 1.44% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.48% (+0.01)
Total : 23.39%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Feb 22, 2026 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Q2 Stadium
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 7' goal
  • Robert Taylor 69' yellowcard
  • Myrto Uzuni 76' goal
  • Nicolás Dubersarsky 78' yellowcard
  • CJ Fodrey 90' yellowcard
  • Jon Bell 90' yellowcard
  • CJ Fodrey 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jon Bell 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Morris Duggan 40'
  • yellowcard Julian Gressel 65'
  • yellowcard Carlos Harvey 66'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 78'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 86'
  • yellowcard Troy Putt 86'
  • yellowcard Troy Putt 87'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 90'
US Open Cup
Sep 18, 2025 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET
MLS Playoffs
May 25, 2025 1.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Michael Boxall 16' goal
  • Michael Boxall 16' goal
  • Anthony Markanich 33' yellowcard
  • Anthony Markanich 33' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Pereyra 86' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Pereyra 86' yellowcard
  • goal Zan Kolmanic 27'
  • goal Zan Kolmanic 27'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 88'
  • yellowcard Jon Gallagher 88'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 88'
  • yellowcard Jon Gallagher 88'
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 69' yellowcard
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 69' yellowcard
  • goal Ilie Sanchez 22' (OG)
  • goal Ilie Sanchez 22' (OG)
  • goal Anthony Markanich 35'
  • goal Anthony Markanich 35'
  • goal Joaquin Pereyra 90'+1'
  • goal Joaquin Pereyra 90'+1'
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Miguel Tapias 12' yellowcard
  • Miguel Tapias 12' yellowcard
  • Hassani Dotson 25' yellowcard
  • Hassani Dotson 25' yellowcard
  • Hassani Dotson 26' redcard
  • Hassani Dotson 26' redcard
  • Robin Lod 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Rubio 31'
  • goal Diego Rubio 31'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 49'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 49'
  • yellowcard Calvin Fodrey 59'
  • yellowcard Calvin Fodrey 59'
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Bold Stadium
  • Jhojan Valencia 70' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Valencia 70' yellowcard
  • Diego Rubio 84' yellowcard
  • Diego Rubio 84' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Biro 90'+4' goal
  • Guilherme Biro 90'+4' goal
  • goal Robin Lod 34'
  • goal Robin Lod 34'
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 56'
  • yellowcard Joseph Rosales 56'
  • yellowcard Caden Clark 82'
  • yellowcard Caden Clark 82'
  • goal Alejandro Bran 90'
  • goal Alejandro Bran 90'