Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.