Major League Soccer
May 10, 2026 12.30am
Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United vs Los Angeles Galaxy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 3 - 1 Montreal
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
May 3, 2026 3.30am
LA Galaxy 1 - 1 Vancouver
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
João Klauss

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy has a probability of 33.81% and a draw has a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win is 1-2 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).

Result

Atlanta United 40.78% (-0.23)
Draw 25.37% (+0.07)
Los Angeles Galaxy 33.81% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.04% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 21.33% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 56.29% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 43.71% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 34.59% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 65.41% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.17% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 79.83% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 35.91% (+0.14)
Draw 38.52% (+0.02)
Los Angeles Galaxy 25.57% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 51.18% (-0.14)
No Goal 5.77% (+0.01)
Los Angeles Galaxy 43.05% (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 60.16% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 28.21% (+0.04)
Over 9 48.06% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.1% (-0.01)
Under 9 39.84% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 36.58% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 63.42% (+0.02)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 43.79% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 56.21% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 19.63% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 80.37% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 7.38% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 92.62% (+0.11)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5 69.89% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 30.11% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 37.76% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 62.24% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 15.69% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 84.31% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.33% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 94.67% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 40.78%
Draw 25.38%
Los Angeles Galaxy 33.81%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.17% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 7.12% (-0.12)
Total : 40.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.32% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.38%
Los Angeles Galaxy
1-2 @ 7.68% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.36% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.95% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.61% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.07% (+0.08)
Total : 33.81%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 3.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Joseph Paintsil 46' yellowcard
  • Joseph Paintsil 46' yellowcard
  • Riqui Puig 71' yellowcard
  • Riqui Puig 71' yellowcard
  • Riqui Puig 76' goal
  • Riqui Puig 76' goal
  • Marco Reus 84' goal
  • Marco Reus 84' goal
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 65'
  • yellowcard Ajani Fortune 65'
Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2022 2.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kevin Cabral 7' goal
  • Gaston Brugman 52' yellowcard
  • Rayan Raveloson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Marco Delgado 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Dejan Joveljic 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Amar Sejdic 43'
  • yellowcard Alan Franco 67'
  • yellowcard Dom Dwyer 77'
  • yellowcard Santiago Sosa 79'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 30
Jul 18, 2020 9.00pm
Major League Soccer Gameweek 29
Aug 3, 2019 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • David Romney 23' goal
  • Giancarlo Gonzalez 43' goal
  • Josef Martinez 72' goal
  • Gonzalo Martinez 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rolf Feltscher 52'
  • yellowcard Giancarlo Gonzalez 71'
  • yellowcard Julian Araujo 89'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 9
Apr 22, 2018 3.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stubhub Center (Carson, California)
  • Jorgen Skjelvik 24' yellowcard
  • Perry Kitchen 29' yellowcard
  • Servando Carrasco 85' yellowcard
  • goal Josef Martinez 22'
  • yellowcard Michael Parkhurst 75'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiro 77'
  • yellowcard Romario Williams 93'
  • goal Miguel Almiro 94'
Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2017 12.00am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Josef Martinez 13' goal
  • Yamil Asad 16' goal
  • Yamil Asad 20' goal
  • Hector Villalba 39' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiro 43' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 45' yellowcard
  • Brandon Vazquez 82' redcard
  • redcard Jermaine Jones 39'
  • yellowcard Romain Alessandrini 58'