Major League Soccer
Apr 25, 2026 6.00pm
BMO Field

Toronto vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 3 - 3 Austin
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
Atlanta 0 - 2 Nashville
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toronto win with a probability of 46.56%. A draw has a probability of 27.61% and a win for Atlanta United has a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.89%) , while for a Atlanta United win it is 0-1 (7.91%).

Result

Toronto 46.56%
Draw 27.61%
Atlanta United 25.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.35%
Under 1.5 30.65%
Over 2.5 45.07%
Under 2.5 54.93%
Over 3.5 24.36%
Under 3.5 75.64%
Over 4.5 13.47%
Under 4.5 86.53%

First Half Winner

Toronto 32.25%
Draw 43.58%
Atlanta United 24.17%

Team To Score First

Toronto 48.53%
No Goal 9.71%
Atlanta United 41.76%

Corners

Over 8 60.64%
Equal 8 11.52%
Under 8 27.84%
Over 9 48.61%
Equal 9 12.03%
Under 9 39.36%
Over 10.5 37.14%
Under 10.5 62.86%

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 41.42%
Under 1.5 58.58%
Over 2.5 17.28%
Under 2.5 82.72%
Over 3.5 5.84%
Under 3.5 94.16%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 58.74%
Under 0.5 41.26%
Over 1.5 26.15%
Under 1.5 73.85%
Over 2.5 9.43%
Under 2.5 90.57%
Over 3.5 2.74%
Under 3.5 97.26%

Score analysis

Toronto 46.56%
Draw 27.61%
Atlanta United 25.82%
Toronto
1-0 @ 13.02%
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.23%
Other @ 5.61%
Total : 46.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 4.76%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 27.61%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 6%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.82%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 24, 2025 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 48' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 48' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 72' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 72' yellowcard
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+8' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+8' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 25'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 46'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 52'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 52'
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT BMO Field
  • Kevin Long 30' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 35' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 71' goal
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT BMO Field
  • Richie Laryea 43' goal
  • Brandon Servania 90'+4' goal
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 4'
  • goal Machop Chol 76'
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' goal
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 52'