Major League Soccer
Apr 25, 2026 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
  • Lazar Stefanović 20' yellowcard
  • Derrick Etienne Jr. 30' yellowcard
  • Emilio Aristizábal 71' goal
  • Jules-Anthony Vilsaint 72' yellowcard
  • Antone Bossenberry 72' yellowcard
  • Malik Henry 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Latte Lath 27'
  • goal Aleksey Miranchuk 48'
  • yellowcard Fafà Picault 59'
  • yellowcard Fafà Picault 60'
  • goal Tristan Muyumba 67'
  • yellowcard Matías Galarza Fonda 77'
  • yellowcard Will Reilly 77'

Toronto vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 12.30am
Toronto 3 - 3 Philadelphia
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Dániel Sallói

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 12.45am
Atlanta 1 - 2 New England
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.04%. A draw had a probability of 28.93% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%) , while for a Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 44.04% (-0.08)
Draw 28.93% (+0.04)
Atlanta United 27.06% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.49% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.56% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 31.44% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 44.19% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 55.81% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 24.23% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 75.79% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 13.36% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.64% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Toronto 30.5% (-0.11)
Draw 44.83% (+0.04)
Atlanta United 24.66% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Toronto 46.92% (-0.18)
No Goal 10.43% (+0.03)
Atlanta United 42.65% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 59.8% (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.59%
Under 8 28.61% (-0.13)
Over 9 47.78% (+0.11)
Equal 9 12.02% (+0.01)
Under 9 40.2% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 36.4% (+0.09)
Under 10.5 63.6% (-0.09)

Toronto Goals

Over 1.5 39.6% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 60.4% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 16.11% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 83.89% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 5.46% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.54% (+0.05)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 59.54% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 40.46% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.3% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.7% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 10.18% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.82% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.12%
Under 3.5 96.88%

Score analysis

Toronto 44.04%
Draw 28.93%
Atlanta United 27.05%
Toronto
1-0 @ 12.8% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.35% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05%
Other @ 5.09% (-0.05)
Total : 44.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.43% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 28.93%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 8.23% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 3.95% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.05%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Aug 24, 2025 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Thiago Almada 45'+2' goal
  • Ajani Fortune 48' yellowcard
  • Ajani Fortune 48' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 72' yellowcard
  • Stian Rode Gregersen 72' yellowcard
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+8' goal
  • Jamal Thiare 90'+8' goal
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 25'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 46'
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 46'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 52'
  • yellowcard Kevin Long 52'
Major League Soccer
Mar 23, 2024 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT BMO Field
  • Kevin Long 30' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Spicer 35' goal
  • Prince Osei Owusu 71' goal
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT BMO Field
  • Richie Laryea 43' goal
  • Brandon Servania 90'+4' goal
  • goal Giorgos Giakoumakis 4'
  • goal Machop Chol 76'
Major League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Matheus Rossetto 60' goal
  • goal Federico Bernardeschi 52'