Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Apr 19, 2026 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Nashville
  • Pedro Amador 68' yellowcard
  • Fafà Picault 68' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobjanidze 74' yellowcard
  • Cayman Togashi 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 56'
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 61'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 66'
  • yellowcard Reed Baker-Whiting 84'
  • yellowcard Shak Mohammed 84'
  • goal Shakur Mohammed 90'+1'

Atlanta United vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 1.30am
Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Atlanta
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 12.30am
Charlotte FC 1 - 2 Nashville
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 26.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-0 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Atlanta United 36%
Draw 26.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Nashville SC 37.46% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.59% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.26%
Under 3.5 70.74%
Over 4.5 16.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.9% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 31.6%
Draw 41.56%
Nashville SC 26.84%

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 45.89%
No Goal 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Nashville SC 47.01% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.79%
Equal 8 12.5%
Under 8 37.71%
Over 9 37.82%
Equal 9 11.97%
Under 9 50.21%
Over 10.5 27.34%
Under 10.5 72.66%

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 37.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 71.22% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 38.44%
Under 1.5 61.56%
Over 2.5 15.52%
Under 2.5 84.48%
Over 3.5 4.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.05% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Atlanta United 36%
Draw 26.53%
Nashville SC 37.47%
Atlanta United
1-0 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47%
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.53%
Nashville SC
0-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 37.47%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Nashville
Aug 31, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 3, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Nashville
  • Miguel Almiron 20' goal
  • Mateusz Klich 43' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Slisz 78' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 82' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel Lovitz 66'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Perez 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Nashville
  • Derrick Williams 55' yellowcard
  • Duncan Williams 56' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Muyl 5'
  • goal Alex Muyl 5'
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Sam Surridge 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Derrick Williams 55'
  • yellowcard Duncan Williams 56'
  • goal Duncan Williams 76'
  • goal Duncan Williams 76'
Major League Soccer
Nashville
May 18, 2024 6.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
Atlanta
  • Duncan Williams 40' goal
  • Sam Surridge 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Josh Bauer 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brad Guzan 37'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 44'
  • goal Bartosz Slisz 56'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Nashville
  • Xande Silva 26' goal
  • Xande Silva 26' goal
  • Tristan Muyumba 34' yellowcard
  • Tristan Muyumba 34' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Pineda 35' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Pineda 35' yellowcard
  • Thiago Almada 46' goal
  • Thiago Almada 46' goal
  • Miles Robinson 57' goal
  • Miles Robinson 57' goal
  • Tyler Wolff 66' yellowcard
  • Tyler Wolff 66' yellowcard
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 87' goal
  • Saba Lobzhanidze 87' goal
Major League Soccer
Nashville
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT First Tennessee Park
Atlanta
  • Fabrice Picault 36' goal
  • Teal Bunbury 56' goal
  • Jacob Shaffelburg 90'+1' goal
  • goal Thiago Almada 72'

Form Data

Chattanooga 1 - 3 Atlanta
Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Atlanta
Atlanta 1 - 3 Columbus Crew
Atlanta 0 - 0 DC United
Atlanta 3 - 1 Philadelphia
Atlanta 2 - 3 Salt Lake
America 0 - 1 Nashville
Charlotte FC 1 - 2 Nashville
Nashville 0 - 0 America
Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Nashville
Nashville 5 - 0 Orlando City
Inter Miami 1 - 1 Nashville