US Open Cup
Apr 16, 2026 12.30am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Finley Stadium
  • Yves Tcheuyap 6' goal
  • Keegan Ancelin 63' yellowcard
  • Ashton Gordon 63' yellowcard
  • Darwin Ortiz 81' yellowcard
  • Anthony García 81' yellowcard
  • goal Cayman Togashi 21'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almirón 46'
  • yellowcard Cooper Sanchez 46'
  • goal Fafà Picault 64'
  • yellowcard Luke Brennan 71'
  • goal Pedro Amador 75'
  • yellowcard Elías Báez 83'
  • yellowcard Tristan Muyumba 83'

Chattanooga vs Atlanta United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chattanooga

All competitions

Atlanta United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chattanooga win with a probability of 52.46%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chattanooga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result

Chattanooga 52.46% (-0.50)
Draw 23.11% (+0.15)
Atlanta United 24.38% (+0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.45% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.97% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 22.03% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 55.81% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 44.19% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 33.44% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 66.56% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 20.06% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 79.94% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Chattanooga 43.05% (-0.46)
Draw 37.66% (+0.26)
Atlanta United 19.29% (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Chattanooga 62.52% (-0.12)
No Goal 5.63% (+0.05)
Atlanta United 31.85% (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 62.46% (+0.35)
Equal 8 10.74% (-0.03)
Under 8 26.8% (-0.31)
Over 9 51.11% (+0.33)
Equal 9 11.35%
Under 9 37.54% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 40.08% (+0.30)
Under 10.5 59.92% (-0.30)

Chattanooga Goals

Over 1.5 51.37% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 48.63% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 25.72% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 74.28% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 10.29% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 89.71% (+0.36)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5 60.66% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 39.34% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 28.36% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 71.64% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 10.12% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 89.88% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 3.22% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 96.78% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Chattanooga 52.47%
Draw 23.11%
Atlanta United 24.38%
Chattanooga
1-0 @ 10.07% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 3.42%
Other @ 10.14% (-0.37)
Total : 52.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 5.63% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.01)
Total : 23.11%
Atlanta United
0-1 @ 6.29% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.91% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.07% (+0.05)
Total : 24.38%