Major League Soccer
Atlanta
May 3, 2026 12.30am
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal

Atlanta United vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 6.00pm
Toronto 1 - 2 Atlanta
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Aleksey Miranchuk

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 7.30pm
Montreal 1 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Wikelman José Carmona Torres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for CF Montreal has a probability of 30.78% and a draw has a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest CF Montreal win is 1-2 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Atlanta United 44.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 25.03% ▲ (+0.02)
CF Montreal 30.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.08% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 19.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 57.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 42.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 35.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 64.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 79.21% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Atlanta United 35.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 39.07% ▲ (+0.04)
CF Montreal 25.12% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Atlanta United 53.66% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.24%
CF Montreal 41.1% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 58.85%
Equal 8 11.4%
Under 8 29.75%
Over 9 47.14%
Equal 9 11.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 41.15%
Over 10.5 36.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 63.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 1.5 47.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 22.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.42% ▲ (+0.02)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 68.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 85.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.76%
Under 3.5 95.24%

Score analysis

Atlanta United 44.2%
Draw 25.03%
CF Montreal 30.78%
Atlanta United
2-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-0 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 8.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 44.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 25.03%
CF Montreal
1-2 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 30.78%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Montreal
Aug 10, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Atlanta
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 41' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 41' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 63' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 63' goal
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 70' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 70' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 80' yellowcard
  • Mateusz Klich 80' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 85' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 85' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Opoku 34'
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Opoku 34'
  • goal Nathan Saliba 47'
  • goal Nathan Saliba 47'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 71'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 71'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 80'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 80'
MLS Playoffs
Montreal
Oct 23, 2024 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 2
ET Stade Saputo
Atlanta
  • Josef Martinez 63' goal
  • Josef Martinez 89' goal
  • George Campbell 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Brooks Lennon 29'
  • goal Stian Rode Gregersen 44'
  • yellowcard Dax McCarty 82'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal
  • Daniel Rios 45'+3' goal
  • Daniel Rios 45'+3' goal
  • Brooks Lennon 55' yellowcard
  • Brooks Lennon 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryce Duke 39'
  • yellowcard Bryce Duke 39'
  • goal Josef Martinez 43'
  • goal Josef Martinez 43'
  • goal Josef Martinez 76'
  • goal Josef Martinez 76'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 82'
  • yellowcard Nathan Saliba 82'
Major League Soccer
Montreal
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Saputo
Atlanta
  • Ruan 51' goal
  • Ruan 51' goal
  • Raheem Edwards 53' yellowcard
  • Raheem Edwards 53' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 88' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 88' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 89' yellowcard
  • Josef Martinez 89' yellowcard
  • Nathan Saliba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Nathan Saliba 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 37'
  • yellowcard Stian Rode Gregersen 37'
  • redcard Stian Rode Gregersen 55'
  • redcard Stian Rode Gregersen 55'
Major League Soccer
Atlanta
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal
  • Xande Silva 30' goal
  • Xande Silva 30' goal
  • Thiago Almada 33' goal
  • Thiago Almada 33' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 46' goal
  • Giorgos Giakoumakis 46' goal
  • Miles Robinson 65' yellowcard
  • Miles Robinson 65' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 89' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 89' goal
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Edwin Mosquera 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Ahmed Hamdy 40'
  • goal Ahmed Hamdy 40'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 66'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 67'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choiniere 79'
  • redcard Joel Waterman 87'
  • redcard Joel Waterman 87'

Form Data

Charlotte FC 0 - 2 Atlanta
Toronto 1 - 2 Atlanta
Atlanta 1 - 2 New England
Atlanta 0 - 2 Nashville
Chattanooga 1 - 3 Atlanta
Chicago Fire 1 - 0 Atlanta
Montreal 1 - 0 NY City
Montreal 4 - 1 NY Red Bulls
Montreal 1 - 2 Philadelphia
New England 3 - 0 Montreal
Cincinnati 4 - 3 Montreal
Orlando City 2 - 1 Montreal