Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 56.46%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%).