Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 2.30am
Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego vs Los Angeles FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 2.30am
San Diego 1 - 2 Portland
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 9.45pm
Minnesota Utd 0 - 1 Los Angeles
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for San Diego has a probability of 36.64% and a draw has a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest San Diego win is 2-1 (8.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).

Result

San Diego 36.64%
Draw 25.55%
Los Angeles FC 37.84% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.97% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.03% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 55.51% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.49% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.29% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.71% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 19.18% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.82% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

San Diego 37.54%
Draw 37.25%
Los Angeles FC 25.21%

Team To Score First

San Diego 51.9% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.07% (-0.01)
Los Angeles FC 42.03%

Corners

Over 8 59.17%
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 29.48%
Over 9 47.47%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 40.83%
Over 10.5 36.41%
Under 10.5 63.59%

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 39.98% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 60.02% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.19% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.81% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.42% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.58% (-0.02)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.97% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.03% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.48% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.52% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.15% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 82.85% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.73%
Under 3.5 94.27%

Score analysis

San Diego 36.64%
Draw 25.55%
Los Angeles FC 37.85%
San Diego
2-1 @ 8.08% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.71%
Other @ 6.14% (+0.01)
Total : 36.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.3% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 25.55%
Los Angeles FC
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.85%
Other @ 5.45%
Total : 37.85%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 1, 2025 3.45am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 3.30am
3
2
HT : 6 4
FT
  • Franco Negri 14' yellowcard
  • Franco Negri 14' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 21' goal
  • Christopher McVey 21' goal
  • Jeppe Tverskov 24' yellowcard
  • Jeppe Tverskov 24' yellowcard
  • Onni Valakari 33' goal
  • Onni Valakari 33' goal
  • Alex Mighten 40' goal
  • Alex Mighten 40' goal
  • William Kumado 88' yellowcard
  • William Kumado 88' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Martinez 19'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 19'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 21'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 21'
  • goal Artem Smoliakov 43'
  • goal Artem Smoliakov 43'
  • goal Cengiz Under 45'+5'
  • goal Cengiz Under 45'+5'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 53'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 53'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+4'