Major League Soccer
May 3, 2026 2.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Snapdragon Stadium
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 7' goal
  • Lewis Morgan  67' yellowcard
  • Ian Pilcher 67' yellowcard
  • Marcus Ingvartsen 71' goal
  • Alejandro Alvarado  83' yellowcard
  • Wilson Eisner 89' yellowcard
  • Duran Ferree 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Delgado 46'
  • yellowcard David Martínez 46'
  • yellowcard Heung-min Son 60'
  • yellowcard Tyler Boyd 72'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Choinière 79'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 82'
  • yellowcard Artem Smolyakov 90'+9'
  • goal Ryan Hollingshead 90'+14'

San Diego vs Los Angeles FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 2.30am
San Diego 1 - 2 Portland
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Marcus Ingvartsen

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 9.45pm
Minnesota Utd 0 - 1 Los Angeles
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest San Diego win was 2-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

San Diego 36.31% (-0.33)
Draw 25.69% (+0.15)
Los Angeles FC 38.07% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.36% (-0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.53% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 22.47% (+0.44)
Over 2.5 54.87% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 45.13% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 32.65% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 67.35% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 18.66% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 81.34% (+0.53)

First Half Winner

San Diego 37.54%
Draw 37.25%
Los Angeles FC 25.21%

Team To Score First

San Diego 51.82% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.21% (+0.14)
Los Angeles FC 41.97% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 59.17%
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 29.48%
Over 9 47.47%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 40.83%
Over 10.5 36.41%
Under 10.5 63.59%

San Diego Goals

Over 1.5 39.36% (-0.62)
Under 1.5 60.64% (+0.62)
Over 2.5 16.68% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 83.32% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 6.14% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 93.86% (+0.29)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 71.99% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.01% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.33% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 59.67% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 16.99% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 83.01% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 5.65% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 94.35% (+0.08)

Score analysis

San Diego 36.3%
Draw 25.68%
Los Angeles FC 38.06%
San Diego
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.96% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.33% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.07)
Other @ 5.87% (-0.27)
Total : 36.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.21% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.27% (-0.02)
Total : 25.68%
Los Angeles FC
1-2 @ 8.61% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.34% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 5.84% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.88% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.38% (-0.08)
Total : 38.06%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Sep 1, 2025 3.45am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 3.30am
3
2
HT : 6 4
FT
  • Franco Negri 14' yellowcard
  • Franco Negri 14' yellowcard
  • Christopher McVey 21' goal
  • Christopher McVey 21' goal
  • Jeppe Tverskov 24' yellowcard
  • Jeppe Tverskov 24' yellowcard
  • Onni Valakari 33' goal
  • Onni Valakari 33' goal
  • Alex Mighten 40' goal
  • Alex Mighten 40' goal
  • William Kumado 88' yellowcard
  • William Kumado 88' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Hirving Lozano 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Martinez 19'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 19'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 21'
  • yellowcard Igor Jesus 21'
  • goal Artem Smoliakov 43'
  • goal Artem Smoliakov 43'
  • goal Cengiz Under 45'+5'
  • goal Cengiz Under 45'+5'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 53'
  • redcard Igor Jesus 53'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 90'+4'