Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest San Diego win was 2-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.