CONCACAF Champions League
Apr 30, 2026 3.30am
BMO Stadium

Los Angeles FC vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions

Toluca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Toluca has a probability of 33.84% and a draw has a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Toluca win is 0-1 (8.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.79%).

Result

Los Angeles FC 41.14% (-0.04)
Draw 25.01%
Toluca 33.84% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.76% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.7%
Under 2.5 48.3%
Over 3.5 28.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.63% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.18% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.82% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Los Angeles FC 32.69%
Draw 40.47%
Toluca 26.84%

Team To Score First

Los Angeles FC 46.78%
No Goal 6.79%
Toluca 46.43%

Corners

Over 8 52.91%
Equal 8 11.75%
Under 8 35.34%
Over 9 41.4%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 47.09%
Over 10.5 31.02%
Under 10.5 68.98%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 1.5 40.35% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.65% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.43% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 82.57% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 6.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.76% (+0.03)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 66.92% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.08% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 34.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.71% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 13.47% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.53% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.4%
Under 3.5 95.6%

Score analysis

Los Angeles FC 41.15%
Draw 25%
Toluca 33.84%
Los Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 6.04% (-0.02)
Total : 41.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 6.79%
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 25%
Toluca
0-1 @ 8.32%
1-2 @ 8.3% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.33%
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 33.84%