Liga MX Gameweek 14
Apr 13, 2026 2.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Santiago Simón 46' yellowcard
  • Everardo del Villar 46' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 46' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Castro 63' yellowcard
  • Franco Rossi 72' goal
  • Franco Romero 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anderson Duarte 58'
  • yellowcard Miguel García 73'
  • yellowcard David Rodríguez 73'
  • yellowcard Santiago Muñóz 83'
  • yellowcard João Pedro 90'+7'

Toluca vs Atletico San Luis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 12.00am
Queretaro 1 - 0 Toluca
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Paulinho

Atletico San Luis

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 12.00am
Monterrey 1 - 2 Atletico San Luis
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.25% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%) , while for a Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Toluca 61.72% (-10.07)
Draw 19.25% (+2.11)
Atletico San Luis 19.06% (+8.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.19% (+0.93)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.69% (-1.65)
Under 1.5 19.31% (+1.64)
Over 2.5 59.21% (-2.68)
Under 2.5 40.79% (+2.68)
Over 3.5 37.93% (-2.92)
Under 3.5 62.07% (+2.92)
Over 4.5 25.21% (-3.04)
Under 4.5 74.79% (+3.05)

First Half Winner

Toluca 53.8%
Draw 31.51%
Atletico San Luis 14.68%

Team To Score First

Toluca 72.87% (-0.43)
No Goal 4.88% (+0.56)
Atletico San Luis 22.25% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 21.18% (-34.24)
Equal 8 8.14% (-3.74)
Under 8 70.68% (+37.99)
Over 9 15.18% (-28.35)
Equal 9 6% (-5.89)
Under 9 78.82% (+34.24)
Over 10.5 10.99% (-21.64)
Under 10.5 89.01% (+21.66)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 59.28% (-8.74)
Under 1.5 40.72% (+8.74)
Over 2.5 34.67% (-7.49)
Under 2.5 65.33% (+7.49)
Over 3.5 17.21% (-4.53)
Under 3.5 82.79% (+4.54)

Atletico San Luis Goals

Over 0.5 51.97% (+7.68)
Under 0.5 48.03% (-7.68)
Over 1.5 22.77% (+6.58)
Under 1.5 77.23% (-6.58)
Over 2.5 7.79% (+3.53)
Under 2.5 92.21% (-3.54)
Over 3.5 2.42% (+1.33)
Under 3.5 97.58% (-1.33)

Score analysis

Toluca 61.72%
Draw 19.26%
Atletico San Luis 19.06%
Toluca
2-0 @ 9.66% (-1.53)
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.47)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.50)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-1.64)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-1.10)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.30)
Other @ 17.08% (-4.55)
Total : 61.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.91% (+1.08)
0-0 @ 4.88% (+0.56)
2-2 @ 4.43% (+0.38)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.02)
Total : 19.26%
Atletico San Luis
0-1 @ 4.96% (+1.61)
1-2 @ 4.45% (+1.50)
0-2 @ 2.9% (+1.47)
1-3 @ 1.89% (+0.87)
2-3 @ 1.6% (+0.40)
Other @ 2.29% (+1.32)
Total : 19.06%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Aug 30, 2025 2.00am
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Apr 17, 2025 3.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez
  • Sebastien Salles-Lamonge 71' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Salles-Lamonge 71' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 16'
  • goal Jesus Gallardo 16'
  • yellowcard Everardo Lopez 51'
  • yellowcard Everardo Lopez 51'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2024 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Jesus Gallardo 30' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 57' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 60' goal
  • Victor Arteaga 63' yellowcard
  • Victor Arteaga 69' redcard
  • goal Luis Ronaldo Najera Reyna 37'
  • yellowcard Vitinho 57'
  • yellowcard Javier Guemez 90'+2'
Liga MX Gameweek 16
Apr 20, 2024 4.00am
1
5
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez
  • Unai Bilbao 20' goal
  • Unai Bilbao 20' goal
  • Yan Phillipe 33' yellowcard
  • Yan Phillipe 33' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Dourado 34' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Dourado 34' yellowcard
  • Unai Bilbao 47' yellowcard
  • Juan Escobar 47' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Vega 13'
  • goal Alexis Vega 13'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 30'
  • goal Jesus Angulo 30'
  • yellowcard Juan Escobar 47'
  • yellowcard Unai Bilbao 47'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 45'+5'
  • goal Jean Meneses 52'
  • goal Jean Meneses 52'
  • goal Jean Meneses 58'
  • goal Jean Meneses 58'
  • goal Brian Garcia 69'
  • goal Brian Garcia 69'
Liga MX Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Abraham Villegas 18' goal
  • Claudio Baeza 52' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 61' yellowcard
  • Abraham Villegas 65' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 69' goal
  • Jesus Venegas 85' yellowcard
  • Isaias Violante 88' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jhon Murillo 16'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Dourado 31'
  • redcard Rodrigo Dourado 45'+2'
  • goal Angel Zaldivar 83'
Liga MX Gameweek 9
Feb 26, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Jean Meneses 12' goal
  • Carlos Gonzalez 34' goal