Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.25% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%) , while for a Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.