Liga MX Gameweek 17
Apr 26, 2026 2.05am
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez
  • Sebastián Córdova 5' goal
  • Franco Romero 27' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 46' yellowcard
  • Jesús Gallardo 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Fernando Arce 59' goal
  • Bruno Méndez 63' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Castro 72' yellowcard
  • Jorge Díaz 73' goal
  • Nicolás Castro 76' goal
  • yellowcard Bryan Colula 46'
  • yellowcard Paul Bellón 46'
  • goal Díber Cambindo 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Daniel Arcila 56'
  • yellowcard Juan Domínguez 56'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Alvarado 70'

Toluca vs Club Leon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2026 2.00am
Mazatlan 4 - 3 Toluca
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Paulinho

Club Leon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2026 4.06am
Club Leon 2 - 3 America
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Diber Cambindo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 58.53%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 21.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (5.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%).

Result

Toluca 58.53% (-10.21)
Draw 20.2% (+1.24)
Club Leon 21.29% (+9.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.41% (+2.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.23% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 20.77% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 57.12% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 42.88% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 34.39% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 65.61% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 22.22% (-0.86)
Under 4.5 77.78% (+0.86)

First Half Winner

Toluca 56.09%
Draw 32.34%
Club Leon 11.57%

Team To Score First

Toluca 71.33%
No Goal 5.39%
Club Leon 23.28%

Corners

Over 8 26.19% (-31.45)
Equal 8 9.19% (-2.50)
Under 8 64.62% (+33.94)
Over 9 19.02% (-26.73)
Equal 9 7.17% (-4.73)
Under 9 73.81% (+31.46)
Over 10.5 13.76% (-20.92)
Under 10.5 86.24% (+20.91)

Toluca Goals

Over 1.5 55.43% (-7.85)
Under 1.5 44.57% (+7.85)
Over 2.5 30.35% (-6.20)
Under 2.5 69.65% (+6.21)
Over 3.5 13.89% (-3.45)
Under 3.5 86.11% (+3.46)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5 54.27% (+8.22)
Under 0.5 45.73% (-8.22)
Over 1.5 24.34% (+8.20)
Under 1.5 75.66% (-8.19)
Over 2.5 8.97% (+4.88)
Under 2.5 91.03% (-4.88)
Over 3.5 2.98% (+2.08)
Under 3.5 97.02% (-2.08)

Score analysis

Toluca 58.53%
Draw 20.2%
Club Leon 21.29%
Toluca
1-0 @ 10.15% (-1.18)
2-0 @ 9.67% (-1.83)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.86)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-1.71)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-1.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.17)
Other @ 13.76% (-3.48)
Total : 58.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% (+0.60)
0-0 @ 5.39%
2-2 @ 4.34% (+0.48)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.03)
Total : 20.2%
Club Leon
0-1 @ 5.25% (+1.29)
1-2 @ 5.09% (+1.45)
0-2 @ 3.04% (+1.56)
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.56)
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.85% (+2.06)
Total : 21.29%

Head to Head

Liga MX
Oct 5, 2025 2.00am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Liga MX Gameweek 6
Feb 9, 2025 1.00am
3
3
HT : 4 0
FT BC Place Stadium
  • Jhonder Cadiz 15' goal
  • Jhonder Cadiz 15' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 24' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 24' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 31' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 31' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 64' goal
  • Rodrigo Echeverria 64' goal
  • Paul Bellon 90' yellowcard
  • Jaine Barreiro 90' yellowcard
  • Paul Bellon 90' yellowcard
  • Jaine Barreiro 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 38'
  • yellowcard Franco Romero 38'
  • goal Isaias Violante 50'
  • goal Isaias Violante 50'
  • goal Robert Morales 60'
  • goal Robert Morales 60'
  • goal Robert Morales 85'
  • goal Robert Morales 85'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 88'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 88'
Liga MX Gameweek 15
Nov 2, 2024 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Paulinho 55' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 60' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Dominguez 74' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 80' yellowcard
  • Bruno Mendez 81' redcard
  • Isaias Violante 84' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 87' goal
  • goal 10'
  • goal Stiven Mendoza 15'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Blanco 27'
  • goal Jose Alvarado 57'
  • yellowcard Adonis Frias 80'
Liga MX Gameweek 5
Feb 3, 2024 11.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Diez
  • Juan Dominguez 17' goal
  • Federico Pereira 24' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 30' goal
  • Marcel Ruiz 45' yellowcard
  • Brian Garcia 48' yellowcard
  • Jesus Angulo 79' yellowcard
  • Alexis Vega 86' goal
  • goal Nicolas Lopez 47'
Liga MX Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2023 12.00am
1
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Leon
  • 27' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 39' goal
  • Nicolas Lopez 39' goal
  • Angel Mena 67' yellowcard
  • Angel Mena 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Morales 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Robert Morales 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jesus Angulo 75'
  • yellowcard Edgar Lopez 75'
  • redcard Juan Dominguez 83'
  • redcard Juan Dominguez 83'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 87'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 87'
  • yellowcard Edgar Lopez 89'
Liga MX Gameweek 4
Jan 29, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Díez