Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 58.53%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 21.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (5.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%).