Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 58.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.84% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%) , while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (6.24%).